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REENTRY PREDICTIONS FOR PROGRESS-M 27M

PROGRESS-M 27M (PROGRESS 59 Cargo) was headed to the International Space Station to deliver 3 tons of supplies and equipment, however all attempts at docking the spacecraft to ISS were called off on April 29, just a day after the cargo freighter was launched. The cargo orbiter is headed for an uncontrolled, untargeted re-entry.

PROGRESS-M 27M is reportedly decayed according to USSTRATCOM.
The spacecraft reentry occurred around 08 May 2015 02:20 UTC over Pacific Ocean.


The following reentry predictions are issued as of 7 May 2015:

Prediction date/timeSource
08 May 2015 02:41 UTC +/- 2 hoursAerospace
08 May 2015 02:20 UTC +/- 1 minuteUSSTRATCOM
08 May 2015 03:42 UTC +/- 1.6 hoursTed Molczan

USSTRATCOM PREDICTION
USSTRATCOM PREDICTION
Legend:
Red Line - ground track uncertainty prior to predicted reentry time
Green Line - ground track uncertainty after predicted reentry time


N2YO: 592